Election Hyperbole
29/07/2004
- Opinión
I am constantly asked, nowadays, what should we do about the
election? More often, I am told to work for Cobb, work for
Nader, or work for Kerry. When I reply, I am often berated as an
ultra left loon or a sniveling democrat, as the case may be.
At ZNet I also see a stupendous volume of written election
commentary. I see so much that even if most of it wasn't highly
fractious and redundant, I would wonder if all the time going to
eyeballing, debating, celebrating, investigating, and otherwise
hyperventilating the election wasn't reducing attention going to
other pursuits.
In reply to queries, my own views are:
(1) For Bush to lose will be a whole lot better than for Bush to
win. Holding one's nose and voting for Kerry in contested states
is a good thing to do, though I can certainly understand third
party votes, even in contested states.
(2) It makes sense to run radical campaigns to build movement
infrastructure, raise consciousness, and push mainstream
candidates left. To these ends, I prefer Cobb to Nader because
Cobb is about movement building and Nader has demonstrated since
2000 that he is a poor movement builder. Still, I can understand
someone feeling differently.
(3) With hundreds of millions of dollars going to the campaign,
and with every notable commentator left of Attila the Hun (stay
tuned for imminent outpourings from Hollywood and Rock and Roll)
helping Kerry, the idea that endorsements from serious leftists
are going to somehow make a meaningful difference on Kerry's
behalf, seems preposterous to me. In fact, the benefits to Kerry
of aggressive left support seem so minuscule (if they are even
positive) as to make it politically inefficient for people well
left of Kerry to move their attention away from long term
priority activities toward his campaign.
(4) Indeed, it may even be electoral suicidal to put aside long
term work since the deciding factor in the election will likely
be elites' perceptions of the probability that Bush can function
without disastrous movement and international response and
derivative destabilization. Leftists setting aside our antiwar
and other activities will diminish rather than increase elite
fears. Instead of boosting Kerry we need to provide visible
signs that militant opposition is growing.
(5) In any event, a self-proclaimed leftist relating to the
campaign in a way that implies that Kerry or Clinton or Gore
were or are good guys, and that considers any of these Democrats
honest much less exemplary, and that fails to reiterate the ills
of the Democratic Party, of our system of government, and of
capitalism, is something I cannot understand.
But beyond my take, what do most leftist agree about and what's
left after that, that many leftists are intently debating?
There is a presidential election coming. We all agree on that.
One or the other of the two mainstream parties will produce the
next president. We all agree on that too.
Both Bush and Kerry represent corporate and other elite
interests and agree on preserving inequity and corporate
domination. Neither candidate is a friend to working people,
women, minorities, or to anyone poor or weak. To extol either
candidate as virtuous, wise, moral, or exemplary, much less as a
tribune of justice and peace, denies the logic and morality of
being progressive much less of being anti-capitalist. We can
agree on that too, can't we?
Still, presidents affect the composition of diverse
bureaucracies, courts, policies, and programs, and perhaps even
affect the balance of power between society's contending
constituencies and classes. I think progressives agree about
this too.
Regarding this election, it is at least plausible that who wins
will matter more than usual - perhaps even monumentally -- both
in the policies that ensue and in the psychological and cultural
messages heard by elites and electorates around the country and
around the world. Where the Bush camp and the Kerry camp differ
is over how best to maintain or expand society's defining
gender, cultural, political, and economic hierarchies. We
leftists may reasonably disagree about the scale of the
difference between class enemy Bush and class enemy Kerry, but
we would be delusional to claim there is no difference.
Kerry is a vile warrior happy to defend corporate interests.
Bush believes military might produces diplomatic right, offense
is everything, and all obstacles and negotiation must be damned.
Kerry will weakly defend past progressive domestic social gains
and under sufficient pressure may plausibly expand some. In a
second term Bush will wage unrelenting war on virtually every
progressive domestic social advance of the past hundred years,
even as he also elevates right-wing fervor and fear with unknown
repercussions.
Thus, another fact of this season's electoral calculations is
that whether Bush or Kerry wins will greatly affect various
people's immediate well being as well as broader domestic and
international prospects.
It seems we still have found only generally agreed
insights...but there is more ground to cover.
How electoral campaigns are conducted can also have many and
varied effects, even beyond who wins. Regarding the two dominant
parties, mainstream campaigns of course overwhelmingly
disenfranchise and depoliticize people. This is why the media
obliterated Howard Dean despite that Dean is no less an ally of
elite interests than Kerry is. I don't know why Dean's campaign
morphed to the point of threatening to politicize young people
and perhaps even poor people, but it did, and since that is the
penultimate violation of elite interests in American politics,
Dean's campaign had to be derailed, and it was.
Evidencing the same underlying dynamics, Kerry will try to win
the election not by contesting the allegiances of the 50% of the
population that typically doesn't vote, but instead by fighting
to win a majority of the 10% or so of swing voters in each
state. In fact, if we count only swing states, this election
will probably address primarily 4% of the voters and only 2% of
the population.
More, Bush and Kerry's battle for swing voters is actually not
even a battle over the informed decisions of those individuals.
It is a battle for support from donors and media moguls who
provide the means to manipulate swing voters.
Kerry will campaign vigorously for the tiny swing group but will
largely ignore the massive non voter pool from which he could
plausibly garner landslide support. This is because Kerry just
doesn't want support from those sectors. He won't risk arousing
them because to do so would threaten his larger agendas. Anyone
who doesn't understand how structurally complicit in injustice
the Democratic Party is has only to fully comprehend this single
fact to have the truth clearly register.
Back to the issues at hand, beyond the manipulative system-
preserving machinations of the major parties, third party
campaigns can raise activist consciousness and increase activist
commitment and organization. I suspect this claim too is
generally agreed among progressive commentators or, at any rate,
it ought to be.
So the article after article, interview after interview, and
letter after letter about the election that are being written by
leftists and published in left venues aimed at other leftists
seem to me to be either confused or to be about the only things
left to disagree over:
(a) The relative value of leftists apportioning time and energy
to third parties to win organizational and consciousness gains,
versus apportioning time and energy to beating class enemy Bush
in order to win the lesser evil benefits of electing class enemy
Kerry, or
(b) The efficacy of electoral focus of any kind compared to
getting on with other uses of our time - for example continuing
our on-going anti war work, anti-corporate globalization work,
feminist work, labor work, anti-racist work, etc.
Now here is the thing. Whatever each person believes about these
matters, at this point there is undoubtedly more benefit in his
or her doing what he or she finds most warranted rather than
wasting time berating other leftists for having a different
viewpoint.
By now the berating of other leftists is useless. Pretty much
everyone on the left knows where they stand. Few if any leftists
are likely to significantly change their approach. The only
relevant new information that may surface between now and
November will be indications of likely election voting, not
positions of candidates or evidence of efficacy of campaigning.
So let's just give up the left on left electioneering, is my
advice. By doing so, we can collectively save a lot of time and
avoid a lot of needless arguing.
Next we have the endless stream of commentary by leftists
telling non-leftists to vote or to work for Kerry. Even for
those who think piling up votes for Kerry is of world historic
importance, can this allocation of astute and capable leftists'
time make sense? Do we really think that the non-left world is
going to hear from us something that they will feel has more
credibility, more persistence, and more passion than what they
are going to hear, endlessly, from liberals? Do we really think
that our (hopefully equivocal) noises about voting for Kerry are
going to swing anyone who won't be swung first by much more
aggressive electioneering done by people they know and respect
much more?
I don't believe it. And I certainly shudder every time our
redundant efforts to beat Bush take the form of saying anything
remotely nice about Kerry, who deserves nothing other than our
steadfast opposition - hopefully when he is President, to be
sure. And I shudder as well when our redundant efforts to beat
Bush, or to urge others to do so, seem to be crowding out
attention to the war, globalization, movement building per se,
and so on.
In short, I guess what I am saying is that whatever your
electoral inclinations, at this point repetitive, redundant
entreaties about Kerry and Bush from leftists to other leftists,
and even about Nader and Cobb from leftists to other leftists,
and probably also entreaties from leftists to more mainstream
citizens about Kerry/Bush, are most likely not the most
efficient way to productively manifest our insights and utilize
our energies.
So we are down to one debatable disagreement, it seems. In
contested states should leftists spend any time trying to
increase the vote for Cobb or Nader instead of being quiet or
aiding Kerry? This is contentious. Logically, writing and
speaking about it could affect people's choices. But I bet those
who are for aiding Cobb or Nader are not going to convince those
who are against doing so that they should start doing it. And I
bet those who are against aiding Cobb or Nader are not going to
convince those who are for doing so that they should stop doing
it. So what is the point of reams of back and forth debate that
can sour otherwise positive relations, I wonder?
At this point, the arguments have been made. So why don't we
just do our things, hopefully including non electoral things,
leaving one another alone, and letting the results of our
separate efforts impact subsequent choices? I bet all sides will
be better off for it.
This message has been brought to you by ZNet
(http://www.zmag.org).
https://www.alainet.org/es/node/110305?language=es
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