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America’s Guide To Dismantling The Multipolar World

Andrew Korybko

30/12/2014

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The US is currently engaged in a global campaign to push back against multipolarity and prolong the unipolar moment. This epic struggle is taking place across all of the continents, with specific Resistant & Defiant (R&D) Cores and their affiliated economic and infrastructural interests being targeted for destabilization. The entire plan is based on a clearly defined patterned approach against each ‘adversary’, and the following article is a simplified overview of how the US is effectively waging a World War in the 21^st century in order to retain its superpower status.

The Regions and Their R&D Cores:

The entire world is a battlefield and here’s how it’s arranged:

Eastern Europe/Former Soviet Union – Russia
Mideast – Iran
East/Southeast Asia – China
Latin America – Venezuela/Brazil

It is difficult to define the exact core of Latin America, as although Venezuela most certainly leads the ALBA grouping, it is not strong enough to resist the US on the same level as the other R&D cores. Brazil, for its part, has shown no real interest in leading the hemisphere, as it is still trying to domestically manage its own rise and the challenges associated with it, although it is recognized as the core of Mercosur. Together, the combination of Venezuela’s ALBA and Brazil’s Mercosur create the Latin American R&D Core.

Africa is also a scene of this global struggle, but because it has no R&D core and is primarily a giant proxy battle fought between the US/France and China, it is excluded from the analysis at hand since it follows its own unique pattern. However, this in no way infers that it is unimportant, just that it should be examined on its own in a forthcoming article. Should completely unexpected developments occur within this decade, a Black Swan scenario might arise where some state or constellation thereof arises as an African R&D Core. Nonetheless, it is such a dim prospect as to not be taken seriously at this time.

Major Regional Infrastructure Projects

Each of the R&D Cores is associated with a certain major infrastructural project that would spread and solidify multipolarity throughout its respective region. These said projects are opposed by the US, which will do everything it can within its power (whether it has yet to demonstrate this or already has) to stop them:

Russia – South Stream/Turk Stream
Iran – Resistance Pipeline (Iran-Iraq-Syria gas pipeline)
China – Maritime Silk Road
Latin America – Nicaragua Canal – more so an extension of the Russian-Chinese Strategic Partnership in Latin America than a project associated with Venezuela/Brazil, although it definitely has indirect benefits to them as well

Rival Economic Blocs

The US does not want the R&D Cores to succeed in the creation of economic blocs that can rival its neo-liberal economic world order, and just as with the major regional infrastructure projects, it has set out to destroy them.

Russia – Eurasian Union
Syria – Five Seas Strategy – Syria and Iran are very close allies, and the policy of Damascus becoming a regional hub between the Mediterranean Sea, Black Sea, Caspian Sea, Persian Gulf, and Red Sea would also tangentially benefit Tehran per their strategic partnership in the Mideast
China – Free Trade Area of the Asia-Pacific
Latin America – ALBA/Mercusur

‘Lead From Behind’ Partners

In order to best destabilize the targeted R&D Cores and their affiliated interests, the US has taken to delegating specific bilateral and multilateral partnerships to act as convenient regional proxies for its plans:

NATO vs. Russia
GCC vs. Iran
US-Supervised Mutual Security Arrangements vs. China – the US and Japan-South Korea-Philippines triangle plus an emerging ASEAN NATO-like entity between Vietnam [the land component] and the Philippines [the sea component] as joint cores
A pro-USA implicit security system with certain Pacific Alliance members vs. Venezuela/Brazil – yet to be formalized and may not even have to be in order to reach its intended effectiveness

It must also be said that each R&D Core is threatened to varying degrees by Color Revolutions, which represent the US’ new preference towards indirect and asymmetrical warfare.

Proxy Destabilizations

The US understands that each R&D core is vulnerable to its own type of indirect destabilization, and it’s been playing this card to perfection:

The Ukrainian Civil War to undermine Russia
The War on Syria to destabilize Iran
Island disputes in the East and South China Seas (specifically the Vietnamese-Chinese rivalry) to offset China’s rise
A possible Cuban-Venezuelan fallout (a 21^st-century Latin American Sino-Soviet split) to weaken Caracas and attack ALBA/Mercosur through indirect means

‘Big Flips’

Facilitating the US’ ‘Lead From Behind’ partnerships and proxy destabilizations, Washington managed to pull off four ‘big flips’ in recent years that changed the foreign policies of key geopolitical players to the detriment of the R&D Cores:

Ukraine against Russia
Turkey against Syria – always a NATO member but was very close to Syria right before the war against it was started [not necessarily a flip, but rather a military-political ‘activation’]
Myanmar against China – hasn’t reached its climax yet, which will be the coordinated eruption of Yugoslav-style civil war between all of the peripheral ethnicities fighting against the central government, with the aim of a Syrian-like spillover of refugees and fighters into Southern China
Cuba against Venezuela

Concluding Thoughts

As has been briefly demonstrated, the US is involved in a literal World War against the R&D Cores, one which is fought via a segmented and patterned approach in each theater. The progress on each front varies and is proceeding according to a different time table, but when analyzed together as a single event, it can be said that the US has made considerable progress in advancing its goals over the past few years. Color Revolutions were used extensively in the former Soviet sphere, while the ‘Arab Spring’ events in the Mideast can also be said to epitomize a newer, more violent form of this tactic adapted for regional circumstances. Over in East and Southeast Asia, the US has had progress in further ingratiating itself into the political-economic workings of each state in order to lay the prototype for their own regional NATO. On the Latin American front, the US’ sudden and unexpected ‘flipping’ of Cuba (or rather, buying off the island from Raul) shows that it isn’t containing its unipolar push to the Eastern Hemisphere and Eurasia. All in all, save for a political-economic collapse of the US that would put an immediate halt to the war, it is expected that this global conflict will define the oncoming decades and make for an ultra-dynamic first half of the 21^st century.

December 23, 2014

- Andrew Korybko (USA)

http://orientalreview.org/2014/12/23/americas-guide-to-dismantling-the-m...

https://www.alainet.org/es/node/166459?language=en